Do morning line systems for horse racing really work?

Website design By BotEap.comWe live in an instant, disposable, fast, self-serve economy and that has affected almost every human endeavor, including how people want to hurt horse racing. In search of a fast horse racing system, many people turn to the many morning line methods that have been around for a long time.

Website design By BotEap.comThe allure of a quick way to pick winners is nothing new, which is why the morning line is so enticing. A public handicapper who is at the track every day (it’s her job) looks at each horse on the show and gives what he or she believes are the odds the public will place on the horse before publication time. . But how accurate are those predictions, and what other factors come into play?

Website design By BotEap.comFirst of all, a track handicapper is an employee of the racetrack and the track needs people to buy and race horses on the track. Therefore, keeping owners happy is of the utmost importance. Track handicappers regularly place lower odds on horses so as not to offend owners. Now, I’m not talking about horses that have a chance to win, those horses usually get the odds they deserve, but I’m talking about horses that have no chance of winning and it’s pretty obvious. If a horse should be at 100-1, no track handicap will put the runner at those odds.

Website design By BotEap.comThe reason is twofold, first of all, what happens if the horse wins? The tipster will look pretty silly and never hear the ending. Second, someone is paying to keep the horse on the track and race it. The last thing the racetrack wants is to insult the owner or trainer or risk having their horses moved elsewhere. So horses at 10-1 or 20-1 can actually qualify those odds or they can be much worse.

Website design By BotEap.comA good long shot handicap system that looks at those horses and digs into other factors to throw some roses between all the thorns is great, but a quick morning line system won’t do that.

Website design By BotEap.comAnother problem with the morning line system is that it relies on a person, whom you probably don’t even know, to determine the odds for the runners. If the track handicap has a bad day or week, you lose because of it. What can be even worse is that they can have multiple people doing that job and one can be good while the other can be a bad smell. When I worked in publicity at a track, my boss and I used to take turns doing the morning line and we would compete with each other to see who could do the best job.

Website design By BotEap.comThat’s good for the players, but what if the person doing it is mad at the track? He or she may give a lousy line out of spite. What I mean is that those morning line betting systems may work once in a while, but they will only be as consistent as a stranger you depend on to hurt races. That is the reason why those morning line systems have been around, they still do not show a constant win and should only be used for fast method, light betting and recreation.