What strategies should you use for Australian rules football pools?
Website design By BotEap.comAustralian rules football is nothing like football, neither in a purely physical sense nor in its organisation. It is generally accepted (and supported by statistics) that Australian rules football teams play closer to their form than British football teams. For example, the range in level of play between the top and bottom teams in a league is quite wide, leading to more predictability. Player injuries and transfers, and missed games (for not showing up) are other factors that can have a big influence on a team’s performance profile. These and other statistical peculiarities have a direct effect on the strategies that will be adopted for betting on soccer pools.
Website design By BotEap.comFirst, some basic stats: Teams come and go (and change names) quite often in Australian rules football. A team can disappear for a season or two and then come back together. Therefore, tracking equipment in a statistics database can be quite a challenge.
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Website design By BotEap.comAnalyzing the statistics shows that some leagues have much higher standards than others, and in particular some leagues have much higher draw percentages than others (for example South Australia), while other leagues have a much higher draw percentage. bass. So if you are playing the triple chance (draw games) then you bias your picks towards the leagues with higher draw rates i.e. you forecast more draws in the top half of the coupon. Obviously, this depends on the use of a suitable performance rating system to evaluate the possible results of the matches, before introducing biases.
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Website design By BotEap.comA peculiar aspect of Australian rules football is that the sequences can seem very strange. It’s not unusual for a team that loses at home to go on to win their next game (if it’s away). The numbers confirm it, but the explanations can be a bit difficult to understand. One view I favor is that this is related to the range of standards of play within given leagues.
Website design By BotEap.comThe opposite also carries weight, as a good away win is often followed by a home loss.
Website design By BotEap.comFor a pool staking strategy, this means that sequences are important, much more so than in UK pools.
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Website design By BotEap.comTypically, an equity strategy must use higher levels of coverage than would be the norm for UK groups, pound for pound. As some of the value coupons (1/10 p/line) are not issued during the Australian season, then share plans become important, balancing a lower guarantee level with more coverage on the higher cost coupons (1 p/line).
Website design By BotEap.comFull permits, even at the high cost of any 8 out of 18, aren’t really the way to go.
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Website design By BotEap.comWhen narrowing down your selections, let’s say you have 30 tie predictions from candidates that you want to narrow down to 20, then you can start by eliminating those with the lowest percentage odds of a tie.
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Website design By BotEap.comWith over 130 teams to monitor, Australian pools can require more work than UK pools. Dividends are smaller, but with teams playing closer to form and there are other tweaks that can help focus on draws (by removing home or visiting bankers), then it can be a more rewarding part of the schedule. groups. After all, the serious football fan is down to earth and isn’t looking for the glory of the £1m dividend, just consistent profits from season to season.
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