Dogs 760 / 542 / 0.71 / -21.8k
Favorite 760 / 728 / 0.96 / -3.2k Website design By BotEap.combundesliga
Dogs 612 / 578 / 0.94 / -3.4k
Favorite 612 / 563 / 0.92 / -4.9k Website design By BotEap.comA series
Dogs 760 / 551 / 0.73 / -20.9k
Favorite 760 / 717 / 0.94 / -4.3k Website design By BotEap.comPremier of LaLiga
Dogs 760 / 748 / 0.98 / -1.2k
Favorite 760 / 704 / 0.93 / -5.6k Website design By BotEap.comHow do you read that table? Take the Premier League as an example. In the last 2 seasons he has had 760 games. If you had played all the dogs, your total odds would have been 542 (by the way, I’m using European-style odds, 1.35, etc.), returns 0.71 (542/760), and for a $100 bet on each dog, you would have lost $21,800. Website design By BotEap.comWhat’s interesting is that playing the favorites is a much better tactic overall, IF(!) you play all the games. Only in Spain your best tactic is to play all dogs and almost break even. Website design By BotEap.comWell, no one plays every game. That would be crazy. The question now is: can we use some very simple methods to find an advantage among the dogs or favorites? I know for a fact that you can find an advantage using sophisticated probability models and buying the best odds, BUT for this article we would like to find simple methods for the average bettor, who likes to bet for fun and TV games, and not just for gambling purposes. profit. Website design By BotEap.comHow about playing only local dogs, local favourites, visiting dogs, visiting favourites? Website design By BotEap.comPremier League Bundesliga Serie A Premier League
home favorite 0.98 0.91 0.94 0.93
domestic dogs 0.84 0.94 0.77 1.03 Website design By BotEap.comfavorite visitor 0.91 0.96 0.95 0.93
absent dogs 0.66 0.94 0.71 0.97 Website design By BotEap.comhome favorite 1.55 0.98 0.91 0.90 0.92 Website design By BotEap.comfavorite visitor 1.55 0.85 0.95 0.95 0.92 Website design By BotEap.comHome dogs in La Liga, under 1.55 home favorites in Serie A and under 1.55 away favorites in the Premier, Bundesleague and Serie A would have been a winning bet. Other possible good bets were overall home favorites in Premier, away favorites 1.55 1.02 0.95 0.95 0.96 Website design By BotEap.comfavorite visitor 1.55 0.89 0.99 0.99 0.96 Website design By BotEap.comSo, in the Premier League, play all the home favorites and away big favorites, the dogs in the Bundesleague and away big favorites, the big favorites in Serie A and the dogs and away big favorites in Spain, and choose the highest possible fee, and you’ll be fine. ! Website design By BotEap.comIn the future, I will discuss more powerful mathematical methods to find an overlap in sports betting.